In the second of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (39-34) and the Cleveland Indians (39-34) at Camden Yards, Chris Tillman (5-7, 6.22 ERA) and Cody Anderson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) get the start. The Orioles won the last game 4-3 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and will air on STO and FOX.
Tillman is 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA, 20 strikeouts and 14 walks against the Indians in his career. Jimmy Paredes (.319, 32 Rs, 8 HRs, 34 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs. The Indians were unsuccessful the last time Anderson pitched. He had a good outing, pitching, going 7.2 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 1-0 loss to the Rays. Jason Kipnis (.351, 49 Rs, 5 HRs, 31 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Orioles have a winning record of 22-14 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +397. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). The most recent 10-game stretch for the Orioles has gone great. Over that span, Baltimore is averaging 6.7 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.6. The Orioles have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.6 runs per game.
On the other side, the Indians have a record of 11-11 when they are the underdog and are -1,407 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 1-0 record and 4-6 SU. The Indians will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Cleveland’s run production has dropped to 3.0 runs per game, compared to 4.6 for the duration of the season. The Indians average 3.7 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the AL. Switching gears to Cleveland’s pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an AL-high 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Orioles are 3-1 against the Indians this season. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Anderson) in this game and have a 28-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 22-21 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Over
Notes
Cleveland has won 48% (11-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 62% (18-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Indians have a record of 6-11 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 6-29. The Orioles have a 5-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Cleveland has hit 61 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 87 home runs.
Baltimore and Cleveland both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at seventh with 8.78 hits per game and Cleveland ranks eighth with 8.49.
Ranking 13th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.720). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .743.
The Indians are 22-31 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 22-23 record.
