In the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (28-47) and the Minnesota Twins (28-47) at Miller Park, Matt Garza (4-9, 5.48 ERA) and Kyle Gibson (4-6, 3.35 ERA) take the mound. The Brewers won the last game 10-4 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-WI.
In his last start, Garza pitched 5.1 innings, giving up seven runs (three unearned) and striking out four in a 10-4 loss to the Rockies. Ryan Braun (.254, 41 Rs, 14 HRs, 46 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Brewers, Gibson is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA. He meets a struggling Milwaukee offense that’s batting just .239. Brian Dozier (.268, 57 Rs, 15 HRs, 37 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Twins, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Milwaukee, a -116 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Brewers have a losing record of 9-16 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -1,754. They are 4-6 SU and perfect as the favorite (3-0) in their last 10 games. The Brewers seem to play better on offense against opponents from the AL, putting up an average of 4.4 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.7.
Switching gears, the Twins come into this game with a win percentage of .542 when playing as the underdog (32-27) and an overall money line of +1,216. Against interleague opponents, they are 6-7 SU and 6-4 as the underdog. The Twins have not played up to par on offense against the NL. Minnesota has averaged 3.2 runs per game, less than their 4.2 season average. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.4 walks per game, good for tops in the AL.
The Brewers are 3-1 against the Twins this season. This game will feature Gibson (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 20-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the right-hander Garza. They sport a 21-24 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIN, O/U – Over
Notes
The Twins are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
The Twins are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 13-11 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 21-4. The Twins have a 27-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 276 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 15th with 305.
Milwaukee and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 27th with 167 this season and Minnesota ranks 25th with 172.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 23-16. When the Twins hit at least one homer, they have a 28-13 record.
