Tom Koehler (5-4, 3.76 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (30-45) meet Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 3.33 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (42-33) in the second of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins lost the last game 7-1, extending a five-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and will air on SportsNet LA and FSN-FL.
Koehler is 1-2 with a 2.91 ERA against the Dodgers in his career, but is up against a strong Los Angeles offense that’s hitting .255 on the year. Dee Gordon (.356, 39 Rs, 17 RBIs, 26 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Marlins, Kershaw is 5-1 with a 1.99 ERA, 51 strikeouts and 16 walks. Adrian Gonzalez (.298, 40 Rs, 13 HRs, 46 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a heavy +180 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Marlins perform poorly as an underdog with a 15-26 record and have an overall money line of -1,555. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-7). The Marlins don’t give up many hits to opposing batters at Marlins Park, ranking third in the NL with only 8.1 hits allowed per home game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Dodgers come into this game with a win percentage of .538 when playing as the favorite (35-30) and an overall money line of -607. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-6 record. Los Angeles is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 96 home runs. The Dodgers average 3.5 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. The Dodgers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.53 ERA on the road this season. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league.
The Dodgers are 3-1 against the Marlins this season. The Marlins will take on a left-hander (Kershaw) in this game and have an 8-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Dodgers will be the right-hander Koehler. They sport a 37-25 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 3-3 in such matchups.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have an 8-20 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-29. The Dodgers have a 9-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Miami has hit 62 this season. Los Angeles ranks fourth with 96 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.34 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.73.
Ranking 22nd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .767.
The Dodgers are 16-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 13-29 when they allow at least one homer.
