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Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins Game Pick

Mike Fiers (3-7, 4.39 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (28-48) go up against Tommy Milone (4-1, 3.59 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (40-34) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Miller Park. The Twins won the last game 5-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-WI.

In his most recent outing, Fiers pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Mets. Adam Lind (.292, 27 Rs, 10 HRs, 37 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his career against the Brewers, Milone is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Brian Dozier (.272, 57 Rs, 15 HRs, 37 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Twins, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base.

Milwaukee is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Brewers have a losing record of 9-16 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -1,754. They are 4-6 SU and perfect as the favorite (3-0) in their last 10 games. The Brewers seem to play better on offense against opponents from the AL, putting up an average of 4.4 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.7.

On the other side, the Twins have a record of 32-27 when they are the underdog and are +1,216 overall with the money line. When playing Teams in the National League, they have a 0-3 as the favorite and 6-7 SU. When it comes to scoring runs, the Twins haven’t performed as well against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Switching gears to Minnesota’s pitching staff, they allow just 2.4 walks per game, good for tops in the AL.

The Brewers are 3-2 against the Twins this season. This game will feature Milone (LHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have an 8-8 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the right-hander Fiers. They sport a 21-24 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over

Notes

The Twins are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.

The Twins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 9-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 21-4. The Twins have a 27-1 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 24th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 278 this season. Minnesota ranks 14th with 310 runs.

Milwaukee and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 27th with 168 this season and Minnesota ranks 24th with 176.

When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 23-16. When the Twins hit at least one homer, they have a 29-13 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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