Odrisamer Despaigne (3-5, 4.83 ERA) and Chase Anderson (3-2, 3.54 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (37-40) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (35-39) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 7-2 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and FSN-SD.
Despaigne is 2-3 with a 4.21 ERA in his appearances against the Diamondbacks, and goes up against a quality Arizona offense which is batting .260 this season. Justin Upton (.276, 43 Rs, 14 HRs, 46 RBIs, 15 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. When pitching against the Padres, Anderson is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and 20 strikeouts. Paul Goldschmidt (.351, 54 Rs, 20 HRs, 62 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
San Diego is a narrow -110 favorite at home against Arizona. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -362 and a record as the favorite of 20-15. Within its division, San Diego has an 11-5 record as favorite and a 20-20 record SU. San Diego’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.6.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 23-25 record and an overall money line of +nine. They are 13-13 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 19-19 SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is good for second in the NL. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 65 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Padres lead the season series, 7-5. The Padres have a 27-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Anderson takes the mound. Despaigne (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 27-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 13-9, while San Diego is 20-16.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 0-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Padres have a slight leg up on the Diamondbacks, as the Padres have won their last two games while the Diamondbacks have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 22-8. The Padres have a 27-7 record when outhitting opponents.
San Diego and Arizona both rank in the top 10 of the league in runs. San Diego sits at 10th with 323 runs this season and Arizona ranks seventh with 328.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 194 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with 225.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 24-13, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 24-14 when hitting one or more homers.
