Mat Latos (2-5, 5.49 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (6-5, 4.05 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (31-46) and the San Francisco Giants (42-35) at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on CSN-BAY and FSN-FL.
Latos is 4-3 with a 2.11 ERA in his appearances against the Giants, but goes up against a quality San Francisco offense which is batting .270 this season. Dee Gordon (.353, 39 Rs, 17 RBIs, 26 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday. When pitching against the Marlins, Vogelsong is 3-3 with a 1.89 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 37 strikeouts. Buster Posey (.300, 39 Rs, 11 HRs, 53 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Giants, going 2 for 4 Sunday with three RBIs.
The odds for Miami and San Francisco are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.6 runs per game.
Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Giants are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.3 hits per game. San Francisco is excellent at not striking out with just 6.8 per game, ranking second in the NL. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Giants have the fourth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Marlins have a bad 22-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Vogelsong takes the mound. Latos (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 31-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Giants are 3-2 in such matchups.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 13-32 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 24-12. The Giants have a 37-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Miami has earned 280 this season. San Francisco ranks ninth with 329 runs.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 175 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 15th with 224.
The Marlins are 20-26 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 29-12 when they hit at least one homer.