Rubby De La Rosa (6-3, 4.69 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (37-39) go up against Carlos Frias (5-5, 4.31 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-35) in the second of a three-game division series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 10-6 and Arizona leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and will air on SportsNet LA and FSN-AZ.
In his last start, De La Rosa pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking one in a 6-4 loss to the Rockies. Paul Goldschmidt (.352, 55 Rs, 20 HRs, 64 RBIs, 15 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, two RBIs, and two stolen bases. In his career against the Diamondbacks, Frias is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA. He gets a strong Arizona offense that’s batting .261. Justin Turner (.324, 30 Rs, 11 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Dodgers, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Arizona is a +110 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Diamondbacks are 24-26 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +nine. They have a 20-20 record SU and are 14-14 as the underdog within their division. The Diamondbacks are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 72 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Dodgers come into this game with a win percentage of .544 when playing as the favorite (37-31) and an overall money line of -697. Against fellow NL West members, they are 27-19 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 26-18 record. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Dodgers are known for their bats, hitting 244 extra base hits. The Dodgers average 3.6 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. Playing against NL West foes really brings the worst out of the Los Angeles pitchers. They allow 3.7 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 3.4. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league. The Los Angeles pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers have gotten the best of the Diamondbacks in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-3. The Diamondbacks will take on a right-hander (Frias) in this game and have a 28-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed De La Rosa will take the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 39-26 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
Los Angeles has won 55% (16-13) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 59% (13-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Dodgers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 10-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 24-8. The Dodgers have a 30-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total runs this season, Arizona ranks seventh with 344 runs and Los Angeles is 10th with 330.
Ranking first in walks, Los Angeles has earned 282 this season. Arizona ranks 12th with 230 walks.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 26-14, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 34-22 when hitting one or more homers.
