In the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (41-37) and the New York Yankees (41-37) at Angel Stadium, Matt Shoemaker (4-6, 5.03 ERA) and Adam Warren (5-5, 3.48 ERA) take the mound. The Angels won the last game 2-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and will air on YES, FSN-W and ESPN.
In his last start, Shoemaker pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 3-1 loss to the Mariners. Mike Trout (.303, 56 Rs, 20 HRs, 43 RBIs, 9 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his career against the Angels, Warren is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and eight strikeouts. Brett Gardner (.305, 58 Rs, 9 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a -126 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Angels are 24-19 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -48. The Angels are fourth in the AL in hits allowed at home with just 7.8 per game.
Switching gears, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .472 when playing as the underdog (17-19) and an overall money line of -220. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. New York is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 248 extra base hits. The Yankees average 3.1 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL when they travel. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allowed 5.8 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.5.
In their previous five games this season, the Yankees have a 3-2 record. The Angels will take on a right-hander (Warren) in this game and have a 29-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Shoemaker will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 30-27 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 21-13, while New York is 19-23.
The Angels are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 13-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Angels have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Angels have won their last four games while the Yankees have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Angels are 29-9. The Yankees have a 28-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Los Angeles has earned 302 this season. New York ranks second with 365 runs.
Ranking 17th, Los Angeles is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 217 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 252.
When the Angels hit at least one home run, they are 30-19, well-matched with the Yankees who are 34-21 when hitting one or more homers.
