Chad Billingsley (0-2, 6.75 ERA) and Matt Garza (4-10, 5.52 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (27-53) and the Milwaukee Brewers (32-48) at Citizens Bank Park. The Brewers won the last game 9-5 and Milwaukee can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 6:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and can be seen on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
Billingsley is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts against the Brewers. Maikel Franco (.305, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. When pitching against the Phillies, Garza is 2-2 with a 1.86 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts. Adam Lind (.294, 30 Rs, 12 HRs, 44 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Milwaukee takes on Philadelphia as a -127 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,668 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 24-46. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.3 runs per game.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,574 and a disappointing record of 11-17as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and a 6-4 record SU. The The Brewers allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fourth in the NL.
The Brewers have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Phillies have a bad 22-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Garza takes the mound. Billingsley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a inferior 21-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 14-19, while Philadelphia is 13-26.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 10-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Brewers have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Brewers have won their last four games while the Phillies have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 17-7. The Brewers have a 25-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Philadelphia sits at 28th with 268 runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 22nd with 303.
Both Philadelphia and Milwaukee are tied at 27th in walks with a total of 178 this season.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 16-21. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 25-16 record.
