Allen Webster (1-1, 7.11 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-41) meet David Hale (2-3, 5.95 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (34-46) in the third of a four-game division series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 4-3 and Arizona leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and will air on ROOT-RM, FSN-AZ and MLB Net.
In his last start, Webster pitched 3.2 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking four in a 10-6 loss to the Dodgers. Paul Goldschmidt (.354, 57 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs, 15 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Diamondbacks, Hale is 0-0 with an 11.81 ERA. He gets a strong Arizona offense that’s batting .263. Troy Tulowitzki (.320, 41 Rs, 8 HRs, 41 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Arizona is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a 13-13 record and overall money line at +49. They have an SU record of 22-22 against teams in their division and a 7-6 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Diamondbacks have the most prolific offense in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are a stellar hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 72 steals.
On the other side, the Rockies have a record of 27-31 when they are the underdog and are -729 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 16-25 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 14-18 record. The Rockies rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Colorado is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.1 hits per contest. Playing against NL West foes really brings the worst out of the Colorado pitchers. They allow 6.1 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 5.1.
The Diamondbacks had the upper hand against the Rockies in their previous 10 games this season, earning a 7-3 record. This game will feature Hale (RHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 29-30 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Webster will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 31-34 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Rockies lost by a margin of one run. The Diamondbacks are 15-12 in one-run games. The Rockies have a 10-12 record in close games.
When the Diamondbacks play into extra innings, they have a 5-5 record. The Rockies are 1-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Rockies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with an 18-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 5-34. The Diamondbacks have a 9-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Arizona ranks in the top half of the league at 13th when it comes to home runs, hitting 74 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 89.
Arizona and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Arizona sits at second with 9.14 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.10.
Ranking ninth, Arizona is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.726). Colorado ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .740.
The Rockies are 15-34 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 19-34 record.
