Taylor Jungmann (2-1, 2.79 ERA) starts for the Milwaukee Brewers (35-48) as they square off against Mike Leake (5-4, 4.38 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (36-43) in the last of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Brewers won the last game 7-3, continuing a seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and can be seen on FSN-WI and FSN-OH.
Leake is 2-3 with a 4.61 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and 32 strikeouts against the Brewers. Todd Frazier (.289, 54 Rs, 25 HRs, 54 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 4 for 5. Jungmann went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking two in a 4-3 defeat to the Phillies in his last outing. Adam Lind (.295, 34 Rs, 13 HRs, 48 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Cincinnati is a -122 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-655), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 22-13. Within its division, Cincinnati has a 5-3 record as favorite and a 15-17 record SU. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 81 bases.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,274 and a disappointing record of 20-31 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 9-14 record against fellow NL Central members, and an 8-2 record SU. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 6.1 during that stretch. The Brewers allow 4.7 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.5 runs per game during that span.
The Reds lead the season series, 5-4. The Reds have a 27-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Jungmann takes the mound. Leake (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 24-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 16-19, while Cincinnati is 14-18.
The Reds managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
The Brewers are coming into the game with seven consecutive wins, while the Reds currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 28-10. The Brewers have a 26-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Cincinnati has earned 317 this season. Milwaukee ranks 16th with 330 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 196 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 246.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 30-22. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 27-16 record.
