Jorge De La Rosa (5-3, 4.59 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (34-47) are in Arizona to meet Rubby De La Rosa (6-3, 4.60 ERA) and the Diamondbacks (40-41) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the last of a four-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 7-3 and Arizona can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and will air on ROOT-RM and FSN-AZ.
De La Rosa has a 2.14 ERA and a 2-0 record in his career against the Rockies, but faces a strong Colorado offense that’s hitting .265 on the year. A.J. Pollock (.304, 53 Rs, 10 HRs, 38 RBIs, 18 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, two RBIs, and two stolen bases. In his pitching opportunities against the Diamondbacks, De La Rosa is 8-8 with a 2.94 ERA. He meets a solid Arizona offense that’s batting .263. Nolan Arenado (.283, 49 Rs, 24 HRs, 68 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Arizona is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a 14-13 record and overall money line at +149. They have an SU record of 23-22 against teams in their division and an 8-6 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Diamondbacks have the most prolific offense in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks rank second in the NL in hits with 9.1 per game. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 74 steals.
Switching gears, the Rockies come into this game with a win percentage of .458 when playing as the underdog (27-32) and an overall money line of -829. Against teams in their division, they are 16-26 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 14-19 record. The Rockies rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Rockies, who average 9.1 hits per game. Playing against NL West foes really brings the worst out of the Colorado pitchers. They allow 6.0 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 5.1.
The Diamondbacks had the upper hand against the Rockies in their previous 11 games this season, earning an 8-3 record. The Diamondbacks will take on a left-hander (De La Rosa) in this game and have a 9-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed De La Rosa will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 31-35 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
Colorado recorded at least two errors for the 10th time this season.
The Diamondbacks are 5-5 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 1-5 in such matchups.
The Rockies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 19-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 5-34. The Diamondbacks have a 9-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Arizona ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 74 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 89.
Arizona and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Arizona sits at second with 9.14 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.10.
Ranking 10th, Arizona is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.726). Colorado ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .740.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 15-34, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 19-34 when allowing at least one homer.
