In the first of a four-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (46-37) and the Philadelphia Phillies (46-37) at Dodger Stadium, Eric Surkamp (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Aaron Harang (4-11, 4.08 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and will air on CSN-PHI and SportsNet LA.
This is the first time Surkamp will take the hill this season. He pitched 24.1 innings last season, finishing 2-0 with a 4.81 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 20 strikeoutsJustin Turner (.312, 30 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Dodgers, Harang is 4-7 with a 4.73 ERA, 58 strikeouts and 24 walks. Maikel Franco (.297, 27 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Los Angeles is a -178 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have a 40-34 record and overall money line at -942. The Dodgers have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Dodgers are a dangerous hitting team with 258 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the NL with an average of 3.6 walks per game. Los Angeles’s pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.29, one of the lowest in their league. The Dodgers don’t allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Phillies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .333 when playing as the underdog (25-50) and an overall money line of -1,968. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-7 record.
This game will feature Harang (RHP) on the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 42-28 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Surkamp will take the mound against the Phillies. Against lefty starters this season, they have a terrible 5-11 record overall and 2-7 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Under
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games.
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers’s last 11 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
LA Dodgers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
After last game’s shutout win against the Atlanta Braves, the Phillies now have three shutouts this season. The Dodgers have been shut out in seven games this season.
The Dodgers are 4-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 3-5 in such matchups.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 6-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 18-9. The Dodgers have a 32-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 285 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half at 13th with 345.
Ranking first in walks, Los Angeles has earned 299 this season. Philadelphia ranks 27th with 190 walks.
The Dodgers are 36-23 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 16-23 when they hit at least one homer.
