Matt Garza (4-10, 5.55 ERA) and Manny Banuelos (0-0, 0.00 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (36-49) and the Atlanta Braves (41-42) at Miller Park. The Braves won the last game 5-3 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and can be seen on SPSO and FSN-WI.
Garza is 0-4 with a 4.93 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, and goes up against a good Atlanta offense which is batting .257 this season. Banuelos went 5.2 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out seven in a 2-1 defeat to the Nationals in his most recent start. Cameron Maybin (.297, 36 Rs, 7 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
Milwaukee is a -135 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,063 and a record as the favorite of 14-17. Milwaukee is an impressive 6-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 7.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 28-35 record and an overall money line of +551. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.8 per game.
The Braves lead the season series, 4-1. The Brewers have a 10-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Banuelos takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 34-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
The Brewers are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 2-6 in such matchups.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 19-34 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 29-12. The Brewers have a 27-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Atlanta has earned 327 this season. Milwaukee ranks 15th with 339 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 201 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 237.
The Brewers are 28-17 when they hit at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 24-14 record.
