Mike Fiers (4-7, 3.83 ERA) and Julio Teheran (6-4, 4.60 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (36-50) and the Atlanta Braves (42-42) at Miller Park. The Braves won the last game 4-3 and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on SPSO and FSN-WI.
Fiers pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 12-1 win over the Reds. Adam Lind (.299, 36 Rs, 15 HRs, 52 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. When pitching against the Brewers, Teheran is 2-2 with a 1.59 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 23 strikeouts. Cameron Maybin (.297, 36 Rs, 7 HRs, 40 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -145 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,217 and a record as the favorite of 14-18. Milwaukee is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 29-35 record and an overall money line of +695. The Braves are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 9.1 hits per road game. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.8 per game.
The Braves have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Brewers have a 26-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Fiers (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 35-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 17-19, while Atlanta is 19-26.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have an 18-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Braves have won their last two games while the Brewers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 30-12. The Brewers have a 27-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Atlanta has earned 331 this season. Milwaukee ranks 17th with 342 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 205 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 239.
The Brewers are 28-18 when they hit at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 25-14 record.