Taylor Jungmann (6-4, 2.42 ERA) starts for the Milwaukee Brewers (50-68) as they square off against Aaron Harang (5-13, 4.52 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (46-71) in the last of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-2 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on CSPh and FSWI.
Jungmann pitched 2.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs (two unearned), striking out three and walking three in a 6-3 defeat to the Cubs. Gerardo Parra (.315, 65 Rs, 11 HRs, 33 RBIs, 9 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Harang went 5.1 innings, surrendering eight runs, striking out four and walking one in a 13-3 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his most recent start. Ryan Howard (.235, 42 Rs, 19 HRs, 65 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -168 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,845 and a record as the favorite of 21-24. Milwaukee is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -496 and a disappointing record of 41-63 as the underdog. The Phillies are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 8.9 hits per road game.
The Brewers have dominated the season series, 6-0. The Brewers have a 35-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Harang takes the mound. Jungmann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 36-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over
Notes
Philadelphia has won 40% (23-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 48% (27-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 26-10. The Brewers have a 34-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 22nd with 453 runs this season and Philadelphia ranks 27th with 430.
Milwaukee and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 286 this season and Philadelphia ranks 29th with 257.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 37-25. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 29-29 record.
