In the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (51-70) and the Miami Marlins (49-70) at Miller Park, Wily Peralta (3-7, 4.07 ERA) and Tom Koehler (8-10, 3.68 ERA) take the mound. The Marlins won the last game 9-6 and Miami leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 19 and will air on FSWI.
In his most recent outing, Peralta pitched 7.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out three and walking two in a 3-1 victory over the Phillies. Ryan Braun (.276, 69 Rs, 21 HRs, 71 RBIs, 18 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5. The Marlins were unsuccessful the last time Koehler pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking one in a 3-1 loss to the Cardinals.
Milwaukee, a -149 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Brewers are 23-25 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,788. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Milwaukee has averaged 2.7 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.9.
Across the field, the Marlins have a subpar record of 27-46 when they are the underdog and are -1,972 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.1 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. The Marlins are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 276 extra base hits. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 83 stolen bases. Switching gears to Miami’s pitching staff, they average just 8.3 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Marlins are 2-0 against the Brewers. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Koehler) in this game and have a 37-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Peralta. They sport a 38-55 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 28-29, while Miami is 23-38.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 20-14 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-54. The Marlins have a 9-44 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 85 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 103.
Ranking 11th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.35 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.59.
Milwaukee and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 24th with an OPS of .693 and Miami ranks 27th with an OPS of .683.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 22-43, well-matched with the Brewers who are 29-48 when allowing at least one homer.
