Tyson Ross (8-9, 3.40 ERA) and Julio Teheran (8-6, 4.44 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (58-62) and the Atlanta Braves (53-66) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 9-0 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 19 and can be seen on SPSO and FSSD.
Ross pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (two unearned), striking out five and walking three in a 9-5 defeat to the Rockies. Matt Kemp (.267, 58 Rs, 14 HRs, 70 RBIs, 9 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Teheran went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks in his last outing. Cameron Maybin (.280, 52 Rs, 10 HRs, 52 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
San Diego is a -158 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -721 and a record as the favorite of 30-24. The Padres are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 317.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 40-55 record and an overall money line of -194. The Braves have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 284 extra base hits.
The Padres lead the season series, 4-2. The Padres have a 43-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Ross (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 45-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
Atlanta has won 40% (23-35) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 53% (29-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Padres have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-45. The Braves have a 10-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 74 this season. San Diego ranks 18th with 107 home runs.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.16 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.53.
San Diego and Atlanta both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 28th with an OPS of .679 and Atlanta ranks 29th with an OPS of .678.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 20-46. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 33-43 record.
