Taylor Jungmann (7-5, 2.66 ERA) and Raisel Iglesias (3-5, 3.93 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (53-74) and the Cincinnati Reds (52-73) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on FSOH and FSWI.
Jungmann pitched 4.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking three in a 6-1 defeat to the Nationals. Khris Davis (.237, 35 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Iglesias went 7.0 innings, surrendering one, striking out 13 and walking three in a 4-0 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his most recent start.
The odds for Milwaukee and Cincinnati are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Within its division, Milwaukee has a record of 19-28 SU. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
The Reds are 22-26 against NL Central rivals. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 114 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.1 hits allowed per away game.
The Brewers have a 38-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Iglesias takes the mound. Jungmann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 40-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Cin
Notes
In their last game, the Reds lost by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 14-13 in one-run games. The Reds have a 17-25 record in close games.
Cincinnati has won 39% (18-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 50% (29-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 40-16. The Brewers have a 38-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 22nd with 503 runs this season and Cincinnati ranks 25th with 492.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 312 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 390.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 40-29, well-matched with the Reds who are 44-35 when hitting one or more homers.