Luis Severino (1-2, 2.74 ERA) is on the hill for the New York Yankees (70-57) as they square off against Matt Wisler (5-4, 5.43 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (54-74) in the second of a three-game series at Turner Field. The Yankees won the last game 15-4 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and can be seen on FS1.
Wisler pitched 2.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering seven runs, striking out two and walking three in a 9-3 defeat to the Cubs. Freddie Freeman (.281, 49 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Severino went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking four in a 6-2 win over the Indians in his last outing.
New York is favored (-210) over Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of -955 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 40-61. Atlanta has gone winless (0-7) as the underdog and 1-9 SU in its last 10 outings. The Braves are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 306. Atlanta’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the favorite, New York has a 44-30 record and an overall money line of +42. New York is 6-5 as the favorite and 6-8 SU against teams in the NL. Offensively, they average 4.7 runs per game, which is good for second in the AL. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.2 per game, ranking third in the AL. The Yankees average 4.3 runs allowed per game, but does worse whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.2 against teams from the NL.
The Yankees have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Braves have a 45-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Severino takes the mound. Wisler (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 47-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Under
Notes
Atlanta has won 37% (23-39) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 46% (28-33) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Braves have a record of 6-30 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 37-17. The Yankees have a 48-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 468 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 604.
Ranking 16th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 362 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 418.
The Braves are 32-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Yankees are 60-34 when they hit at least one homer.
