In the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (54-75) and the Cincinnati Reds (53-75) at Miller Park, Wily Peralta (4-8, 4.55 ERA) and John Lamb (0-2, 6.06 ERA) take the mound. The Reds won the last game 12-9 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and will air on FSOH and FSWI.
In his most recent outing, Peralta pitched 2.2 innings, allowing two runs (two unearned), striking out one and walking two in an 11-6 loss to the Indians. Ryan Braun (.276, 74 Rs, 23 HRs, 76 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI. The Reds were unsuccessful to the Dodgers 5-1 the last time Lamb pitched. He went 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out six and walking three. Joey Votto (.309, 76 Rs, 25 HRs, 65 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Reds, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Milwaukee is a -150 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Brewers are 25-26 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,995. They have a 20-28 record SU and are 7-6 as favorite within their division. Over their past 10 games, Milwaukee’s offense has been playing lights out, averaging 5.1 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.0. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Milwaukee pitchers. The Brewers have given up an average of 5.8 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.5 runs per game.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .316 when playing as the underdog (24-52) and an overall money line of -2,257. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 1-9 SU and have a poor 0-7 record when they were an underdog to win. The Reds have racked up 116 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. Switching gears to Cincinnati’s pitching staff, they allow just 8.1 hits per road game, good for third in the NL.
The Brewers will take on a left-hander (Lamb) in this game and have a 15-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Peralta will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 40-56 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over
Notes
Cincinnati recorded at least two errors for the 18th time this season.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 7-5 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-53. The Brewers have a 10-58 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 18th in home runs, Milwaukee has hit 117 this season. Cincinnati ranks ninth with 135 home runs.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 10th with 8.41 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks ninth with 8.50.
Ranking 22nd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.701). Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .713.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 23-58, well-matched with the Brewers who are 31-53 when allowing at least one homer.
