Raisel Iglesias (3-7, 4.18 ERA) and Michael Wacha (15-5, 2.96 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (60-81) and the St. Louis Cardinals (88-54) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 5-1 and Cincinnati can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on FSMW.
Iglesias pitched 3.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-3 defeat to the Pirates. Todd Frazier (.260, 76 Rs, 32 HRs, 83 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base. Wacha went 4.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking three in an 8-5 defeat to the Cubs in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.260, 84 Rs, 21 HRs, 72 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
St. Louis takes on Cincinnati as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -2,124 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 29-56. Within its division, Cincinnati has an 8-8 as the underdog and a 28-33 SU. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 126 bases.
Over in the other dugout, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +2,394 and an impressive record of 74-34 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 28-15 record against teams in their division, and a 34-23 record SU. St. Louis is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. St. Louis’s pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.84 ERA.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 8-7. The Reds have a 44-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wacha takes the mound. Iglesias (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 68-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – StL, O/U – Over
Notes
Cincinnati won its last game in a shutout, its eighth of the season. St. Louis has been shut out 12 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 14-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Cardinals, as the Reds have won their last two games while the Cardinals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 45-16. The Cardinals have a 53-16 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Cincinnati ranks 22nd with 569 runs and St. Louis is 25th with 562.
Cincinnati and St. Louis both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Cincinnati sits at seventh with 436 this season and St. Louis ranks eighth with 437.
The Reds are 50-38 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 57-23 when they hit at least one homer.
