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Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Football Pick

The Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3) head to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (1-3) this week in a battle between two teams seeking to break their respective losing streaks. Both teams have issues, with both teams having lost their last three. The game will air Saturday, Oct 3 at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBSS.

In last week’s matchup, San Diego State lost to Penn State 37-21. Mikah Holder had a quality performance in the loss, grabbing three receptions for 68 yards and one TD. Rashaad Penny had 55 rushing yards on one carry. Fresno State got blown out by San Jose State 49-23 in its matchup. KeeSean Johnson had a huge game for the Bulldogs, pulling in seven receptions for 90 yards and one TD.

This week’s matchup between the Aztecs and the Bulldogs has even odds and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available.

While the Aztecs are 1-3 Straight Up (SU), they’ve fallen short Against The Spread (ATS) this season with a 0-4 record. There will be plenty of opportunities for the Aztecs to steal the ball from Fresno State. The Bulldogs currently rank 120th in turnovers given up with three per game. San Diego State’s special teams squad is a force to be reckoned with. They average 152.2 return yards per game, sixth in Division I.

As for their opponent, the Bulldogs head into Week 5 with records of 1-3 both ATS and SU. If the Aztecs don’t do a good job holding onto the ball, they’ll have a hard time against the Bulldogs defense, which ranks 10th in the country in turnovers with 2.7 per game. Fresno State is good at avoiding penalties this season. The team only receives four per game on average, the seventh-fewest in the country.

Predictions: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State

Notes

San Diego State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.

San Diego State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Diego State’s last 17 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego State’s last 9 games at home.

San Diego State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home.

San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State’s last 6 games when playing Fresno State.

Fresno State is 1-0 SU when leading at the half this season. San Diego State is 1-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.

The Fresno State defense has forced an average of 2.5 turnovers per game this season. San Diego State is just 1-2 SU when turning the ball over at least 2 times in a game.

The San Diego State rushing attack is ranked only 103rd nationally, while the Fresno State run defense is ranked 62nd. The Bulldogs rushing game is ranked just 72nd, compared to the 50th-ranked run defense of the Aztecs.

Written by GMS Previews

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