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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Prediction

Tyson Ross (10-11, 3.17 ERA) and Jorge Lopez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (73-83) and the Milwaukee Brewers (66-90) at Petco Park. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 29 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSD.

Ross pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out 11 and walking two in a 4-2 defeat to the Giants. This is the first time Lopez will take the hill this season. Khris Davis (.246, 51 Rs, 26 HRs, 65 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 Sunday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.

San Diego is a -158 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -1,392 and a record as the favorite of 39-33.

In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 40-59 record and an overall money line of -2,010.

The Brewers lead the season series, 3-1. The Padres have a 56-64 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Lopez takes the mound. Ross (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 47-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over

Notes

The Padres managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they are outhit, the Brewers are 11-70. The Padres have an 11-59 record when opponents outhit them.

Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total home runs this season, San Diego ranks 19th with 145 homers and Milwaukee is 20th with 142.

Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.24 per game. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.60.

San Diego and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 28th with an OPS of .690 and Milwaukee ranks 24th with an OPS of .709.

The Brewers are 38-65 when they allow at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 40-60 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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