The Chicago Cubs will face their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. WGN will showcase the matchup. The game is scheduled to get going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas has listed Chicago (+105) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-115). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Cubs +1.5 runs (-200) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+170).
The Brewers are 79-61 straight up (SU) and 71-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.4 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Cubs are 81-57 SU and have gone 70-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 67-68-4 in 2018. The Cubs have been a decent under bet with a total record of 60-74-3.
Left-hander Jose Quintana is getting the nod for the visiting Cubs. Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA) has recorded 123 punchouts in 141 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.63 ERA against Milwaukee this year (four starts).
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (14-5, 3.53 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), who has 135 strikeouts and 61 walks this season. Chacin is 2-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.34, along with a K/9 of 8.70.
Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.341/.421 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is hitting .297/.328/.575 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 86 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.283/.379/.486) is up to 24 homers, 90 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 60 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.39.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .254/.373/.432 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .315/.379/.555 with 27 home runs, 85 RBIs, 96 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .310/.404/.437 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 75 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Cubs have gained 0.3 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.4 units and are 15-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
Milwaukee has posted 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.6 over its last five.
The Cubs have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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