The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this NL matchup and the action gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-130) is favored over Atlanta (+120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -175 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.
The Braves are 77-63 SU and are 70-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 1.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 75-65 SU and 71-68 ATS. The team’s lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 8.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them.
Diamondbacks games have a 60-73-6 over/under record in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 64-68-6.
Kevin Gausman is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Gausman (9-9, 3.78 ERA) has recorded 130 strikeouts in 162 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Diamondbacks are sending lefty Patrick Corbin (10-5, 3.01 ERA) to the mound. Corbin has 214 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.01. Corbin is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.
Braves hitters have slashed .259/.327/.423 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .309/.372/.466 with 14 home runs, 87 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Freeman has a .306 average with 21 homers, 83 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2.
The Arizona offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .226/.302/.360 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .298/.398/.553 with 32 home runs, 81 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Peralta’s line is .296/.353/.522 with 26 homers, 74 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Braves have lost 3.5 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.6 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 47 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Atlanta has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Arizona has 13 XBH over its last five.
Arizona has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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