The Minnesota Twins will head south to take on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. This AL matchup will begin at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the action.
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers Odds
Minnesota (+115) is the underdog against Texas (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 11 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for the under and -110 for the over. Runline odds sit at -180 for picking the Twins +1.5 runs and +160 for the Rangers -1.5.
The Rangers are 58-76 straight up (SU) and 66-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.0 units (ATS). The Twins are 62-71 SU and have gone 69-63 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 2.3 units ATS.
Texas games have had an over/under record of 61-63-10 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 63-66-3.
Stephen Gonsalves will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The left-handed Gonsalves is 0-2 with an 11.37 ERA and five strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Rangers are turning to righty Drew Hutchison (2-2, 6.52 ERA), who has 29 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name as well as a 1.78 WHIP. Hutchison did not pitch in the majors last season.
Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.53 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.21.
The Twins offense has slashed .245/.316/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is hitting .292/.329/.484 with 22 home runs, 74 RBIs and 83 runs scored. Mauer (.274/.348/.372) is up to five homers, 39 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
For the home team, Texas’ pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.3. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
The Texas offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .205/.298/.277 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Rangers’ offense has been led by Shin-soo Choo and Jurickson Profar. Choo is hitting .280/.389/.472 with 21 home runs, 60 RBIs and 75 runs scored, and Profar’s line is .253/.337/.447 with 14 homers, 65 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 5.0 units and are 49-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 5.7 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 17 which went under the total.
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
Minnesota fielders have nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Texas over its last 10.
The Twins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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