The Miami Marlins will head north to face their NL East rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Miami (+140) is the underdog to New York (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -155 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins have gone 56-86 SU this year and are 73-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 65-77 SU and 69-71 ATS. The team has lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 62-70-8 in 2018. Marlins games have gone over 70 times, gone under 67 times and pushed on five instances.
Jeff Brigham is projected to start for Miami. Brigham (0-1, 9.00 ERA) has racked up two strikeouts in three innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are turning to righty Jacob deGrom (8-8, 1.68 ERA), who has 230 punchouts and 42 walks as well as a 0.96 WHIP. deGrom is 0-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 3.32 ERA across three starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.43 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.28, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 7.99.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.308/.361 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .288/.338/.412 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.270/.356/.394) is up to 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 59 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.97.
The New York offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.340/.486 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ batters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is hitting .256/.298/.386 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, while Conforto’s line sits at .233/.339/.418 with 23 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU.
New York has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
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