The Washington Nationals will make a road trip to Citizens Bank Park to play their division rival Philadelphia Phillies. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (+105) as the dog to Philadelphia (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -200 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Nationals have gone 71-72 SU this year and are 65-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.4 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 74-68 SU and 67-74 ATS. They’ve gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 16.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Philadelphia games have a 62-73-6 over/under record in 2018. The Nationals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 66-74-3.
Erick Fedde is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Fedde (1-3, 6.00 ERA) has racked up 26 strikeouts in 33 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.55 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Jake Arrieta (10-9, 3.61 ERA), who has 120 strikeouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Arrieta is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA over three starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.95 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 60 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .256/.365/.446 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera have paced the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is slashing .258/.364/.360 with 11 home runs, 48 RBIs, 82 runs and 18 stolen bases, and Herrera’s line is .261/.318/.435 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 60 runs.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.96, along with a K/9 of 8.53.
Nationals hitters have slashed .252/.332/.415 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. The speedy Turner is hitting .269/.340/.408 with 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, 89 runs and 37 steals, while Rendon is hitting .298/.358/.508 with 19 homers, 71 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 10.3 units and are 49-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.8 units and are 52-55 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 57 that went under.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Philadelphia has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 games.
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