The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network is in line to televise the matchup and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Toronto (+245) is the underdog against Boston (-290) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+120) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-140).
The Red Sox are 98-46 straight up (SU) and 85-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 32.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.8 units (ATS). The Blue Jays have gone 65-78 SU this year and are 61-82 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 32.0 units ATS.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 68-70-6 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 74-61-8.
Ryan Borucki will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The left-handed Borucki is 3-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox are turning to lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 1.97 ERA), who has 219 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name as well as a 0.85 WHIP. Sale is 1-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA over two starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.49 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.80 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .285/.366/.391 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez has helped lead the Red Sox offense this season with 40 home runs, 121 RBIs and 104 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.32, along with a WHIP of 1.45.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .245/.317/.430 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Justin Smoak has led Toronto’s hitters and is slashing .248/.355/.471 with 24 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Red Sox are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Astros, while the Blue Jays just got a 6-2 victory over the Indians.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of Boston’s last seven games.
The Blue Jays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Boston has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.
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