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NCAA Football Free Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers

Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Appalachian State Mountaineers are set to face off on the turf at Kidd Brewer Stadium. ESPN+ is scheduled to broadcast the action and the opening kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview

Southern Miss is a live dog and is currently getting 16 points in this game. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $1,000 in order to win $100 back on the Mountaineers (-1000). The Golden Eagles are getting +625 moneyline odds. If one side can get out in front early, it would probably result in a decent live betting opportunity.

The disappointing Golden Eagles are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.4 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 0-1. The Mountaineers have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-0 ATS and owns an O/U record of 2-0.

The Golden Eagles have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Mountaineers are also 1-1 SU.

The Golden Eagles look to get back on track after a 21-20 defeat to Louisiana-Monroe last week where Jack Abraham completed 31 passes for 378 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Tez Parks (42 yards on 17 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Quez Watkins (11 receptions, 81 yards, one TD) and Jaylond Adams (nine catches, 158 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Appalachian State just earned a 45-9 win over Charlotte. The let the 49ers pass for 108 yards and rush for 95 more. Benny LeMay was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 26 yards on three catches for Charlotte. For Appalachian State, Zac Thomas completed 14-of-14 passes for 295 yards and three touchdowns. Jalin Moore (38 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the running game as Corey Sutton (three receptions, 155 yards, two TDs) and Malik Williams (three catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Southern Miss has run the ball on 50 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Appalachian State has an overall rush percentage of 57.1 percent. The Golden Eagles have rushed for 130 yards/game and have just a single score on the ground this year. The Mountaineers are averaging 149 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Mountaineers may hold an advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game, as their running backs has logged 4.1 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Golden Eagles have rushed for 3.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Golden Eagles offensive scheme has tallied 317 yards per game through the air overall and has six passing TD so far. The Mountaineers have produced 294 pass yards per outing and have five total pass scores.

Defensively, Southern Miss appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 130 rush yards and 147 pass yards per game. The Appalachian State D has allowed 168.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 150.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Eagles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.19 to opposing QBs, while the Mountaineers have allowed a 4.38 ANY/A.

Offensively, Abraham has amassed 378 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 67 percent of his 46 attempts with two passing scores and two interceptions. Abraham has a 5.73 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.56 over the past two outings.

As a group, Quez Watkins, Jaylond Adams and Tez Parks have collectively accounted for 548 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

In the other huddle, Zac Thomas has completed 14-of-14 passes for 295 yards, three TDs and zero INTs. Thomas’ ANY/A sits at 23.27 for the season and 10.91 across his last two games.

As a trio, Corey Sutton, Jalin Moore and Malik Williams have collectively accounted for 521 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last couple of games.

Free Prediction: Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Appalachian State Mountaineers

SU Winner – Appalachian State, ATS Winner – Appalachian State

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

Appalachian State has lost two fumbles this season while Southern Miss has lost three

The Appalachian State defensive unit has notched four sacks on the year while Southern Miss has two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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