The Aggies (+6.5) are gearing up to welcome the New Mexico Lobos (-6.5) to New Mexico State. The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 p.m. ET.
New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, New Mexico is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6.5 points. The Lobos are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Aggies are +210. Should one program finds paydirt early, it will likely generate a decent live betting opportunity.
The line opened at 6 but the early action has been swaying in favor of the Lobos.
The Lobos have recorded 0.0 units so far and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-0. The Aggies have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 0-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.
The Lobos are 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Aggies are 0-3 SU.
The Lobos are trying to get back on track after a 45-14 defeat to Wisconsin last week. The Lobos defense allowed the Badgers to run for 417 yards on 59 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. On the offense, the Lobos completed 14-of-24 passes for 134 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Sheriron Jones went nine-for-16 for 79 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Tevaka Tuioti completed five-of-eight for 55 yards and one touchdown. Tyrone Owens (57 rushing yards on 13 attempts) mounted the running attack. Jay Griffin IV (three receptions, 34 yards) and Delane Hart-Johnson (three catches, 33 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
New Mexico State most-recently fell 60-13 to Utah State. Matt Romero completed 18-of-33 passes for 161 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Jason Huntley (35 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and Christian Gibson (57 yards on 11 carries) handled the running game as Drew Dan (four receptions, 56 yards) and Huntley (four catches, 23 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.
New Mexico’s run the ball on 66.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Mexico State has an overall rush percentage of 38.8 percent. The Lobos have produced 198 rush yards per game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are putting up 46 rush yards per game and have yet to record a rushing TD.
It seems like the Lobos could hold an advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up only 15 sacks while the D-line registered 21 sacks. The Aggies, on the other hand, have given up 32 sacks and their defense has recorded only 45 sacks.
The Lobos offense has averaged 248 yards in the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Aggies have recorded 183 pass yards per outing and have three total pass TD.
Defensively, New Mexico has allowed opponents to run for an average of 331 yards and pass for 237 yards per game. The New Mexico State defense has allowed 178.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 293.7 yards per game on the ground. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.93 to opponents, while the Lobos have given up a 7.50 ANY/A.
Offensively, Tuioti has put up 55 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 63 percent of his 8 attempts with one passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a sparkling 9.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 15.07 over the past two outings.
We’re looking for Lobos to maintain tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Tyrone Owens (57 rush yards) and Zahneer Shuler (five rush yards) have delivered in the New Mexico offensive scheme.
For the home team, Matt Romero has managed to complete 34-of-60 passes for 301 yards, two TDs and three INTs. Romero’s ANY/A sits at a minuscule 1.80 for the year and 1.92 across his past two outings.
The Aggies also like to rely on their backfield. In addition to Drew Dan (116 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Johnathan Boone (-9 rush yards, 49 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Jason Huntley (57 rush yards, 48 receiving yards) have seen plenty of action recently.
When these two squads met last year, New Mexico State earned the win 30-28.
Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies
SU Winner – New Mexico State, ATS Winner – New Mexico State
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
Both teams have lost two fumbles this year
The New Mexico defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs four times this year. New Mexico State has produced three sacks.
In its last three contests, New Mexico State is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
+++++
