The top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (+20.5) are set to face off against their conference nemesis Ole Miss Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. ESPN owns the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
Alabama is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 20.5 points to Ole Miss. If the Crimson Tide get behind early it’ll result in a decent betting scenario in-game. The over/under for this matchup has not yet been released.
The line opened at 18, but has recently shifted.
The Crimson Tide have gained 0.0 units so far and are 2-0 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-0. The Rebels have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-0 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-0.
The Crimson Tide are 2-0 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Rebels are 2-0 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Tide are hoping to remain undefeated following a 57-7 victory over Arkansas State last weekTheir defense allowed the Red Wolves to rush for 173 yards on 31 attempts. Warren Wand had a productive day for the Red Wolves in that one with 60 rushing yards on 11 attempts. Offensively, the Crimson Tide completed 20-of-29 passes for 321 yards and six touchdowns. Tua Tagovailoa went 13-for-19 for 228 yards and four touchdowns while Jalen Hurts completed seven-of-nine for 93 yards and two touchdowns. Najee Harris (135 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and Damien Harris (61 yards on 12 carries) provided the ground attack in the win while Jerry Jeudy (four receptions, 87 yards, two TDs) and Irv Smith Jr. (four catches, 41 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.
Ole Miss just got a 76-41 win over Southern Illinois. The defensive unit allowed the Salukis to pass for 388 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 241 yards. D.J. Davis had a good showing in the defeat, recording 121 rushing yards on 16 attempts for Southern Illinois. For Ole Miss, Jordan Ta’amu completed 23-of-33 passes for 448 yards and five touchdowns. Scottie Phillips (107 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) mounted the ground game in the win as A.J. Brown (eight receptions, 158 yards, two TDs) and D.K. Metcalf (seven catches, 93 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.
Alabama has run the ball on 61 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Crimson Tide have run for 250 yards/game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are putting up 189 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Crimson Tide ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded only 27 sacks while their D-line registered 40 sacks. The Rebels, on the other hand, have allowed 32 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 29 occasions.
The Tide offensive scheme has logged 309 yards per contest through the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Rebels have recorded an astonishing 408 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Alabama seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 95 rush yards and 235 pass yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has given up 355 yards per game to opposing passers and 202.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tide are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.93 to opponents, while the Rebels have given up a 6.82 ANY/A.
Offensively, Tagovailoa has amassed 228 passing yards this year, and has completed 68 percent of his 19 attempts with four scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a 15.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 15.19 over the last two outings.
Devonta Smith (77 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown this season), Najee Harris (135 rush yards, one rush TD) and Jerry Jeudy (87 receiving yards, two TDs) have all played key roles lately.
In the home locker room, Jordan Ta’amu has connected on 23-of-33 passes for 448 yards, five TDs and zero INTs. Ta’amu’s ANY/A stands at 15.91 for the year and 13.26 over his past two games.
Scottie Phillips (107 rushing yards, two rush TDs this season), A.J. Brown (158 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Braylon Sanders (133 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have combined for 759 yards from scrimmage and eight touchdowns over the last couple of games.
When these two squads met last year, Alabama knocked off Ole Miss by a landslide 66-3.
Free Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – Ole Miss
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Crimson Tide offense has recorded three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rebels have accounted for eight such plays.
Both teams have allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards. The Alabama defense has given up two pass plays of 30+ yards while Ole Miss has given up three such plays.
The Alabama offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Ole Miss has created four such runs.
The Crimson Tide defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up three such runs.
The Alabama defense has five sacks on the year while Ole Miss has one.
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