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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 09/12/18

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will be facing off against their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The game gets going at 8:05 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on WLS, FSWI and ESPN.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Brewers are 83-63 SU and are 75-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 84-60 SU and 72-71 ATS. The team has gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.5 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Chicago games have had an over/under record of 65-75-3 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 70-71-4.

Chase Anderson is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Anderson is 9-7 with a 3.95 ERA and 119 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).

The Cubs will turn to righty Kyle Hendricks (11-10, 3.71 ERA) to the mound. Hendricks has 141 strikeouts and 40 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Hendricks is 2-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 4.00 ERA over three starts against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.74, along with a K-per-9 of 10.21.

Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.322/.417 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .313/.380/.551 with 28 home runs, 86 RBIs, 98 runs and 17 steals, while Cain is hitting .311 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 80 runs and 26 steals.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.80.

Chicago’s offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.293/.284 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is slashing .293/.326/.563 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 90 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Rizzo’s line is .279/.376/.477 with 24 homers, 92 RBIs and 66 runs.

The Brewers have gained 16.1 units and are 56-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 0.3 units and are 56-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of Chicago’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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