The Washington Nationals will take on their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the action and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-135) is favored over Washington (+125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +150 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Nationals have gone 73-72 SU this year and are 65-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 16.4 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 74-70 SU and 67-75 ATS. They’ve gained 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 17.9 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 63-73-6 in 2018. Washington has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 66-74-3.
The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 7-7 with a 4.04 ERA and 124 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Aaron Nola (16-4, 2.29 ERA), who’s got 196 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Nola is 3-0 with 30 strikeouts and a 1.26 ERA across four starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 62 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.53.
Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .267/.351/.436 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera have paced the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is hitting .258/.363/.358 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs, 83 runs and 18 steals, while Herrera’s line is .259/.315/.430 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 61 runs.
For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.92, along with a K-per-9 of 8.56.
Nationals hitters have slashed .252/.333/.415 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced Washington’s offense. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.339/.406 with 17 home runs, 62 RBIs, 89 runs and 37 steals. Rendon (.296/.360/.503) has produced 19 homers, 71 RBIs and 76 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 10.3 units and are 49-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.4 units and are 52-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 57 that went under the total.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have lost five of their last six games SU.
Washington has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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