The Miami Marlins will be squaring off against their NL East rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast the action.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Marlins have gone 57-90 SU this year and are 75-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.4 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 75-71 SU and 67-78 ATS. They’ve lost 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.9 units ATS. Philadelphia hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 64-75-6 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 72-69-5.
Elieser Hernandez is getting the nod for Miami. Hernandez (2-7, 5.25 ERA) has recorded 43 strikeouts in 61.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are going with righty Vince Velasquez (9-11, 4.30 ERA), who’s got 152 strikeouts and 55 walks, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Velasquez is 2-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA across three starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 64 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.47.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .276/.351/.494 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .257/.361/.356 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs, 84 runs and 18 stolen bases, and Herrera’s line is .257/.313/.427 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.50, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 8.00.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.306/.360 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .282/.333/.403 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.272/.355/.398) is up to 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 1.0 units and are 54-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against y starters.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
Miami has posted 15.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.4 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
*****
