Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 09/18/18

The Minnesota Twins will play their division rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Fox Sports North is in line to showcase the action and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (+100) is the home-team underdog to Minnesota (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +135 for the Twins -1.5 runs and -155 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.

The Tigers are 79-70 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 61-89 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.3 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins are 69-81 SU and have gone 75-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.8 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 64-77-8 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 74-72-3.

Right-hander Jake Odorizzi is getting the start for the visiting Twins. Odorizzi is 6-10 with a 4.41 ERA and 153 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).

The Tigers are sending lefty Daniel Norris (0-4, 6.14 ERA) to the mound. Norris has 35 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Norris has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.64 ERA and two strikeouts across four and 2-third innings).

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 67 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.

Detroit’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .211/.276/.343 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led the Tigers’ hitters this year. Castellanos is hitting .296/.354/.491 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Candelario’s line is .229/.317/.409 with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 74 runs.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.68, along with a K/9 of 9.01.

The Twins offense has slashed .247/.317/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have led Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Mauer is hitting .274/.344/.376 with six homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 8.2 units and are 20-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 10.8 units and are 56-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 61 that went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

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