The Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5) aren’t traveling far to face their in-conference foe Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The afternoon game will begin at 3:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
In this Saturday Mid-American game, Miami (OH) is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently need to spend $200 in order to win $100 back on the RedHawks (-200). The Falcons are getting +170 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 58 points, and it looks like this showdown ought to have some live betting opportunities.
The disappointing RedHawks are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.4 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 1-2. The Falcons have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 0-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.
The RedHawks have gone 0-3 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MAC competition yet. The Falcons are 1-2 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The RedHawks are most-recently on the rebound after a 26-3 defeat to Minnesota last week. Gus Ragland completed only 11-of-20 passes for 108 yards and one interception. Maurice Thomas (36 rushing yards on 10 attempts) and Davion Johnson (50 yards on nine carries) led the ground attack in the loss while Jack Sorenson (three receptions, 27 yards) and Jaylon Bester (two catches, 14 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Bowling Green just picked up a 42-35 win over Eastern Kentucky. The defense allowed the Colonels to run for 389 yards on 60 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. Daryl McCleskey Jr. shredded the defense, recording 168 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 19 attempts for Eastern Kentucky. For Bowling Green, Jarret Doege completed 28-of-39 passes for 258 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Andrew Clair (90 rushing yards on 25 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Quintin Morris (eight receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) and Deric Phouthavong (seven catches, 82 yards, two TDs) led the receiving attack.
Miami (OH) has run the ball on 41.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Bowling Green has an overall rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The RedHawks have produced 79 rush yards/game and have just a single touchdown via handoffs this year. The Falcons are putting up 94 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
It appears that the RedHawks might have the more disruptive lines up front, since their offensive line has given up just 21 sacks while the D-line logged 18 sacks. The Falcons O-line has given up 29 sacks and their defense has generated only 15 sacks.
The RedHawks offensive scheme has logged 201 yards per game in the air overall and has three passing score so far. The Falcons have recorded 218 pass yards per outing and have nine total pass TDs.
Defensively, Miami (OH) has allowed 159 rush yards and 165 pass yards per game. The Bowling Green defense has given up 174.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 348.3 yards per game on the ground. The RedHawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.78 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have given up an 8.31 ANY/A.
Offensively, Ragland is up to 465 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 55 percent of his 66 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. Ragland has a 6.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.25 over the past two outings.
Jarret Doege has connected on 50-of-77 passes for 511 yards, seven TDs and three INTs for Bowling Green. His ANY/A stands at 5.88 for the year and 5.15 over his past two games.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Bowling Green emerged victorious by a score of 37-29.
Betting Prediction: Miami (OH) RedHawks at Bowling Green Falcons
SU Winner – Miami (OH), ATS Winner – Miami (OH), O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes
Miami (OH) was favored by 14 points in its last game and the O/U was 47.5. The under cashed and Miami (OH) failed to cover in the 26-3 loss to Minnesota.
As a team, Miami (OH) has rushed for 3.0 yards per carry over its last two outings.
Bowling Green has averaged 2.1 yards per carry over its last two.
Bowling Green has lost one fumble this season while Miami (OH) has lost two.
Over its last three matches, Miami (OH) is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Bowling Green was favored by -15 points in its last game. The team did not cover the spread in the team’s 42-35 victory over Eastern Kentucky.
The RedHawks offense has created one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Falcons have accounted for two such plays.
The Miami (OH) defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40 or more yards, while Bowling Green has given up six such plays.
The Miami (OH) offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Bowling Green has created four such runs.
The RedHawks defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Falcons have given up 10 such runs.
Each team defense has created five sacks this year.
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