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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: 9/22/2018 Free Pick

Nov 11, 2017; Ames, IA, USA; Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Justice Hill (5) runs the ball against the Iowa State Cyclones in the second quarter at Jack Trice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (+13) are set to face off against their in-conference rival No. 15 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-13) at Boone Pickens Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FS1 and kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview

Texas Tech is a big road underdog in this Big 12 game and is currently getting 13 points. The Red Raiders are also receiving +375 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -550. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at a sky-high 79.5 points, and should one school can find paydirt in the early stages, it will likely generate a worthwhile betting scenario in-game.

The early action has been shifting toward the Cowboys, as the line opened at -12. The game’s total hasn’t changed after it was initially posted at 79.5.

The Red Raiders have gained 0.0 units so far in 2018 and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-0. The Cowboys are up 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Red Raiders have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any Big 12 competition yet. The Cowboys are 3-0 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Red Raiders are coming off a resounding 63-49 win over Houston last week. The passing game was on point as Alan Bowman completed 43 passes on 59 attempts for 605 yards and five touchdowns. Ta’Zhawn Henry (111 yards on 24 rush attempts, four TDs) led the ground attack in the win while Antoine Wesley (13 receptions, 261 yards, three TDs) and Ja’Deion High (seven catches, 120 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Oklahoma State enters this one after just earning a lopsided 44-21 win over Boise State. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Broncos to air it out for 380 yards and three touchdowns. A.J. Richardson had a good outing in the defeat for Boise State, recording 70 yards on six catches. For Oklahoma State, Taylor Cornelius completed 15-of-26 passes for 243 yards and one touchdown. Cornelius (41 rushing yards on 16 attempts, two TDs) and Justice Hill (123 yards on 15 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win as Dillon Stoner (five receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Tylan Wallace (five catches, 105 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Texas Tech’s run the ball on 46.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma State has an overall rush percentage of 55.8 percent. The Red Raiders have run for 176 yards/game and have 13 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Cowboys are totaling 258 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

If 2018 results can translate to this game, then it seems like the Cowboys should hold an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has generated 5.7 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 2.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Red Raiders have ran for 4.0 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents.

The Red Raiders offense has averaged a ridiculous 449 yards in the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have put up 333 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas Tech has allowed 162 rush yards and 293 pass yards per game. The Oklahoma State defense has given up 222.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 74.0 yards per game on the ground. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.87 to opponents, while the Red Raiders have given up a 7.04 ANY/A.

Offensively, Bowman has already amassed 878 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 108 attempts with six scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a 9.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 11.98 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Taylor Cornelius has completed 40-of-61 passes for 543 yards, six TDs and one INT. Cornelius’ ANY/A stands at 9.11 for the year and 7.92 over his past two outings.

These two squads faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 41-34 victory for Oklahoma State.

Free Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

SU Winner – Oklahoma State, ATS Winner – Oklahoma State, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes

Texas Tech was favored by 2 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 68.5. The over cashed and Texas Tech covered in the 63-49 victory over Houston.

Texas Tech has rushed for 3.9 yards per carry over its last two outings.

Oklahoma State has averaged 4.2 YPC over its last two.

Oklahoma State has lost two fumbles this season while Texas Tech has let one get away.

In its last three games, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Oklahoma State was getting one point in its previous match and the O/U was set at 66. The under cashed and Oklahoma State covered in the 44-21 victory over Boise State.

The Red Raiders offense has produced five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cowboys have accounted for three such plays.

The Texas Tech defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has given up zero such plays.

The Texas Tech offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has created eight such runs.

The Red Raiders defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up two such runs.

The Oklahoma State defensive unit has tallied more than three times as many sacks as Texas Tech this year (16 versus five).

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Written by GMS Previews

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