The Kansas City Royals will face their divisional rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. The action will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will televise the game.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Detroit (-110) is favored over Kansas City (+100) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Royals +1.5 runs (-210) and Tigers -1.5 runs (+175).
The Royals have gone 53-102 SU this year and are 77-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 27.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.6 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 63-92 SU and 80-74 ATS. They’ve lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS.
Tigers games have had an over/under record of 66-80-8 in 2018. The Royals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 67-76-11.
Brad Keller is getting the nod for the visiting Royals. The right-handed Keller is 8-6 with a 3.17 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers will send lefty Daniel Norris (0-5, 5.71 ERA) to the mound. Norris has 40 strikeouts and 15 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Norris is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 72 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.57.
The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .268/.313/.446 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Nicholas Castellanos and Victor Martinez have led the Tigers’ hitters this year. Castellanos is hitting .303/.360/.507 with 22 home runs, 85 RBIs and 83 runs scored, and Martinez’s line is .251/.297/.353 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.05, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 7.31.
The Royals offense has slashed .245/.308/.392 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Alex Gordon have led Kansas City’s offense. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .304/.369/.441 with 12 home runs, 58 RBIs, 86 runs and 38 stolen bases, while Gordon (.246/.327/.371) has produced 12 homers, 51 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 5.4 units and are 25-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 11.9 units and are 57-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 63 that’ve cashed the under.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.
Kansas City has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
The Royals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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