The Arkansas State Red Wolves (-4.5) will meet their SBC nemesis Georgia Southern Eagles at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. ESPN+ will televise the action and the matchup is scheduled to start at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview
In this Saturday Sun Belt matchup, Arkansas State is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to put up $200 in order to win $100 back on the Red Wolves (-200). The Eagles are getting +170 moneyline odds. Should one side finds paydirt early on, it’ll likely result in a reasonable live betting opportunity.
The game’s line opened at 4, but early action has shifted in favor of the Red Wolves.
The Red Wolves have gained 2.0 units so far and are 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 1-2. The Eagles are up 1.0 unit this season. The team is 3-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-2.
The Red Wolves are 3-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SBC competition yet. The Eagles are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Red Wolves just got a 27-20 win over UNLV last week. Justice Hansen completed 19-of-27 passes for 199 yards and three touchdowns. Hansen (35 yards on 13 rush attempts) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Marcel Murray (95 yards on eight carries, one TD). Kirk Merritt (five receptions, 34 yards) and Justin McInnis (three catches, 39 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Georgia Southern just fell 38-7 to Clemson. Shai Werts completed two-of-eight passes for 20 yards. Werts (10 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Wesley Fields (27 yards on 14 carries) mounted the running game while Obe Fortune (two receptions, 20 yards) and Kennedy III (one catch, 40 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Arkansas State has run the ball on 50.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia Southern has a rush percentage of 86.1 percent. The Red Wolves have produced 191 rush yards/game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Eagles are putting up 244 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.
The Red Wolves offensive scheme has averaged 276 yards through the air overall and has 11 passing scores so far. The Eagles have recorded 81 pass yards per outing and have two total pass TDs.
Defensively, Arkansas State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 219 yards and pass for 170 yards per game. The Georgia Southern defense has given up 177.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 178.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.42 to opposing QBs, while the Red Wolves have given up a 5.06 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hansen has amassed 762 passing yards this season, and has connected on 60-of-99 attempts with 10 scores through the air and only two interceptions. Hansen’s got an 8.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.36 over the last two outings.
The Red Wolves have tried to control the pace by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with Justice Hansen (25 yards), Marcel Murray (183 rush yards, one rush TD, one receiving TD) and Warren Wand (136 rush yards) have really been focal points in the Arkansas State offensive scheme.
For the home team, Shai Werts has connected on 7-of-15 passes for 49 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs. Werts’ ANY/A stands at a very poor 1.10 for the year and 8.50 over his past two outings.
The Eagles also prefer to keep their RBs involved. Along with Wesley Kennedy III (48 receiving yards), Wesley Fields (59 rush yards, one rush TD) and Monteo Garrett (46 rush yards, one rush TD) have seen plenty of action recently.
When these two programs faced one another last year, Arkansas State got the victory over Georgia Southern, 43-25.
Free NCAA Betting Tip: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Southern Eagles
SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Arkansas State defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this year. Georgia Southern has produced just four sacks.
The Georgia Southern offense has lost two fumbles this season while the Arkansas State offense has lost three.
The Red Wolves offense has tallied one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Eagles have put up two such plays.
The Arkansas State defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia Southern has given up one such play.
The Arkansas State offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Georgia Southern has created five such runs.
The Red Wolves defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Eagles have given up three such runs.
Georgia Southern was favored by 32 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under was set at 49.5. The under cashed and Georgia Southern failed to cover in the 38-7 loss to Clemson.
Over its last three matchups, Arkansas State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Arkansas State was favored by 8 points in its previous game and the O/U was 66. The under cashed and Arkansas State failed to cover in the 27-20 victory over UNLV.
As a team, Arkansas State has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last two contests.
Georgia Southern has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last two.
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