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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Free Preview 09/30/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to play their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Odds

The Padres are 65-96 straight up (SU) and 77-83 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 11.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.9 units (ATS). The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have gone 82-79 SU this year and are 78-82 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.3 units ATS.

San Diego games have a 77-77-6 over/under record in 2018. Arizona has been a decent under bet with a total record of 73-81-6.

Robbie Ray will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The left-handed Ray is 6-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 157 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 4.20 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).

The Padres are going with lefty Joey Lucchesi (8-9, 4.14 ERA), who’s got 137 punchouts and 43 walks, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Lucchesi is 0-5 with 24 strikeouts and a 6.85 ERA across five starts against Arizona this year.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.12, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.53 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 75 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.37.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .235/.301/.385 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the way for the Padres’ hitters this year. Hosmer is slashing .252/.320/.398 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Galvis has produced a line of .246/.298/.380 with 13 homers, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 8.25.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .235/.313/.398 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta, who have combined to drive in 170 runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .290/.389/.534 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 95 runs scored. Peralta (.293/.352/.516) is up to 30 homers, 87 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has 17 XBH over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have won three of their last four games SU.

San Diego has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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