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Utah State Aggies at BYU Cougars – 10/5/2018 Betting Pick

Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports

The Utah State Aggies and BYU Cougars will face off on the grass of LaVell Edwards Stadium. ESPN2 will broadcast the action and kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET.

Utah State Aggies vs. BYU Cougars Betting Preview

Utah State is the road underdog in this game and is currently being given 3 points. The Aggies are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Cougars are -140. Some good live betting scenarios could exist during this showdown.

The game’s line opened at -3, but it has moved since then.

The Aggies have gained 1.0 unit so far and are 4-0 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-0. The Cougars have gained 1.1 units this season. The team is 3-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-5.

The Aggies are 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cougars are 3-2 SU.

The Aggies are coming off a 42-32 win over Air Force on September 22. Jordan Love completed 26-of-38 passes for 356 yards and two touchdowns. Gerold Bright (101 rushing yards on 11 attempts, two TDs) provided the ground attack while Ron’Quavion Tarver (nine receptions, 128 yards) and Dax Raymond (four catches, 68 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

BYU just dropped a 35-7 game to Washington. The team’s defense allowed the Huskies to kill the clock by running for 187 yards on 37 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Aaron Fuller had a productive showing in the win for Washington, recording 107 yards and a score on eight catches. For BYU, Tanner Mangum completed 18-of-21 passes for 160 yards. Lopini Katoa contributed all over the place in the loss. In addition to 27 yards on eight rush attempts (and one TD), Katoa also reeled in seven catches for 66 yards.

Utah State has run the ball on 48.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while BYU has an overall rush percentage of 55.4 percent. The Aggies have rushed for 187 yards/game and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Cougars are putting up 132 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

It appears that the Aggies may hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 5.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Cougars have ran for 3.8 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.

The Aggies offensive scheme has logged 285 yards per contest through the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Cougars have put up 163 pass yards per contest and have four total pass TDs.

Defensively, Utah State appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 187 rush yards and 170 pass yards per game. The BYU defense has allowed 203.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 152.0 yards per game on the ground. The Aggies are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.50 to opposing QBs, while the Cougars have allowed a 5.55 ANY/A.

Offensively, Love has amassed 834 passing yards on the year, and has completed 69-of-109 attempts with three scores through the air and three interceptions. Love has a 6.32 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.29 over the past two games.

Tanner Mangum has connected on 70-of-112 passes for 654 yards, two TDs and two INTs for BYU. His ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.82 for the season and 5.77 over his last two outings.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Utah State emerged victorious by a final score of 40-24.

RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Aggies offense has produced one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Cougars have accounted for zero such plays.

Both defenses have allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards and four pass plays of 30+ yards.

The Utah State offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while BYU has created three such runs.

The Aggies defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cougars have given up four such runs.

The Utah State defensive unit has 11 sacks on the year while BYU has six.

Utah State has produced 6.45535714285714 yards per carry across its last three contests and 7.0 over its last two.

BYU has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.8 over its last two.

In its last three contests, BYU is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

Utah State was favored by 10 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 60.5. The over cashed and Utah State covered in the 42-32 win over Air Force.

In its last three contests, Utah State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

BYU was favored by 19 points in its last game and the O/U was 47.5. The under cashed and BYU failed to cover in the team’s 35-7 loss to Washington.

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Written by GMS Previews

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