The Kansas State Wildcats (+6) will meet their conference foe Baylor Bears (-6) at McLane Stadium. This afternoon game will start at 3:30 p.m. ET and FS1 will televise the action.
Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Baylor has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Wildcats are also receiving +185 moneyline odds while the Bears are -230. Multiple good in-game betting scenarios may present themselves during this matchup, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55.5 points.
The game’s total has yet to move after it was set initially at 55.5. Having said that, the line opened at -5 and sharp bettors have been siding with the Bears.
The Wildcats are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-3. The Bears are up 0.7 units this season. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-1.
The Wildcats are 2-3 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against conference opponents. The Bears are 3-2 SU overall and are also 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Wildcats dropped one to Texas 19-14 in a contest where their defense allowed the Longhorns to run for 111 yards on 29 rush attempts. On the offense, the Wildcats completed 11-of-25 passes for 110 yards. Skylar Thompson went eight-for-18 for 96 yards while Alex Delton completed three-of-seven for 14 yards. Alex Barnes (80 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) and Alex Delton (27 yards on 16 carries) spearheaded the running attack while Isaiah Zuber (five receptions, 33 yards) and Dalton Schoen (five catches, 67 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Baylor just lost a brutal 66-33 game to Oklahoma. Charlie Brewer completed 38-of-60 passes for 400 yards and two touchdowns. Brewer (-20 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) and JaMycal Hasty (43 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game as Denzel Mims (11 receptions, 114 yards, one TD) and Jalen Hurd (nine catches, 104 yards, one TD) led all Baylor pass-catchers in the loss.
Kansas State’s run the ball on 62.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baylor has an overall rush percentage of 46.4 percent. The Wildcats have rushed for 146 yards per game (including 99 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bears are logging 157 rush yards per game (134 in conference) and have 10 total rushing TDs.
The Wildcats offensive scheme has tallied 175 yards per game through the air overall (169 per game against conference opposition) and has five passing scores so far. The Bears have put up 331 pass yards per game (336.5 in the Big 12) and have 11 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Kansas State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 165 yards and pass for 230 yards per game. The Baylor defense has given up 231.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 168.0 yards per game on the ground. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.91 to opponents, while the Bears have given up a 7.67 ANY/A.
Offensively, Thompson has amassed 456 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 54 percent of his 67 attempts with four scores through the air and one interception. He’s got a 6.11 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.
In the host locker room, Charlie Brewer has managed to complete 83-of-135 passes for 1,041 yards, five TDs and one INT. Brewer’s ANY/A sits at 7.21 for the year and 7.00 across his past two outings.
When these two squads met last year, Kansas State got the victory over Baylor, 33-20.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears
SU Winner – Kansas State, ATS Winner – Kansas State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Baylor offense has lost three fumbles this season while Kansas State has lost five.
The Baylor defense has notched twice the sack total of Kansas State this year (10 versus five).
As a team, Kansas State has rushed for 3.04201680672269 yards per attempt over its last three games and 2.6 over its last two.
Baylor has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its past two.
In its last three contests, Baylor is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Kansas State was getting 9 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 48.5. The under cashed and Kansas State covered in the 19-14 defeat to Texas.
Over its last three games, Kansas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Baylor was favored by 21 points in its last outing and the O/U was set at 69.5. The over cashed and Baylor failed to cover in that 66-33 loss to Oklahoma.
Kansas State has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 24-point win over UTSA on September 15th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.
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