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LSU Tigers at Florida Gators: 10/6/2018 Free Betting Pick

Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 5 LSU Tigers (-2) are set to pay a visit to their SEC nemesis No. 22 Florida Gators at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. This critical daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 3:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can witness the action live on CBS.

LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators Betting Preview

In this Saturday Southeastern game, LSU is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 2 points. The Tigers are also receiving -130 moneyline odds while the Gators are +110. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points, and should one school can find paydirt early, it will probably generate a nice in-game betting opportunity.

Betting odds have moved a hair from where they were originally posted. The line opened at 2.5 while the game’s total was set initially at 45.

The surprising Tigers have gained 6.3 units this season and are 3-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-2. The Gators have lost 2.8 units this year. The team is 4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-3.

The Tigers have gone 5-0 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against conference opponents. The Gators are 4-1 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play.

The Tigers are looking to stay undefeated after a 45-16 win over Ole Miss last week where Joe Burrow completed 18 passes on 25 attempts for 292 yards and three touchdowns. Nick Brossette (72 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (67 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Justin Jefferson (five receptions, 99 yards, two TDs) and Stephen Sullivan (five catches, 50 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Florida Gators take the field on Saturday following a 13-6 win over Mississippi State. The defense let the Bulldogs rush for 104 yards on 32 attempts. Kylin Hill had a good outing in the loss, recording 41 rushing yards on nine attempts for Mississippi State. For Florida, Feleipe Franks completed 22-of-31 passes for 219 yards and one interception. Lamical Perine (55 rushing yards on 10 attempts) and Jordan Scarlett (21 yards on 10 carries) handled the ground game in the win as Van Jefferson (four receptions, 29 yards) and Trevon Grimes (four catches, 34 yards) led the receiving attack.

LSU has run the ball on 62.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida has an overall rush percentage of 55.7 percent. The Tigers have run for 192 yards/game (including 201 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 13 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Gators are putting up 175 rush yards per game (149 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.

The Tigers offensive scheme has tallied 205 yards per contest through the air overall (271 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing scores so far. The Gators have put up 203 pass yards per outing (219.0 in the SEC) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, LSU has let opponents rush for an average of 103 yards and pass for 231 yards per game. The Florida defense has allowed 140.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 171.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Gators are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.40 to opponents, while the Tigers have given up a 4.24 ANY/A.

Offensively, Burrow has amassed 832 passing yards this year, and has connected on 52 percent of his 103 attempts with six passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Burrow’s got a pristine 8.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.60 over the last two games.

In the host locker room, Feleipe Franks has managed to complete 63-of-108 passes for 789 yards, nine TDs and three INTs. Franks’ ANY/A stands at 7.21 for the year and 7.35 across his last two games.

When these two programs faced one another a year ago, LSU emerged victorious by a final score of 17-16.

RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions

NCAA Pick: LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators

SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Florida offense has lost two fumbles this season while LSU has lost three.

The Florida D has notched 15 sacks on the year while LSU has 13.

As a team, LSU has averaged 4.42857142857143 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.1 over its last two.

Florida has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.7 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Florida is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

LSU was favored by 11 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 59. The over cashed and LSU covered in the 45-16 victory over Ole Miss.

Over its last three contests, LSU is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Florida was favored by 7 points in its last matchup and the O/U was set at 52. The under cashed and the spread pushed in the team’s 13-6 victory over Mississippi State.

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Written by GMS Previews

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