The Florida State Seminoles (+13) aren’t traveling far to face the No. 17 Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium. This pivotal ACC game kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to televise the action.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes Betting Preview
Florida State is a significant road underdog in this ACC game and is currently being given 13 points. The Seminoles are also receiving +360 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -525. Should one side catches a lucky break early it will generate a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.
The line opened at -12 while the over/under hasn’t changed since it opened at 51.
The disappointing Seminoles are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 3.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-2. The Hurricanes are up 0.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-1.
The Seminoles have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Hurricanes are 4-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.
These two schools met last year with the final outcome being a 24-20 victory for Miami (FL).
The Noles are coming off a 28-24 victory over Louisville last week where the defense allowed the Cardinals to pass for 306 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 115 yards. Jaylen Smith had a productive day for the Cardinals in that one with 100 yards on five catches. On the offensive side, Deondre Francois completed 16 passes for 294 yards and four touchdowns. Cam Akers (42 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Nyqwan Murray (six receptions, 114 yards, two TDs) and Tamorrion Terry (three catches, 71 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Miami (FL) is coming off of a 47-10 win over North Carolina. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Tar Heels to rush for 215 yards on 40 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Michael Carter had a productive showing in the loss for North Carolina, accounting for 75 rushing yards on seven attempts. For Miami (FL), N’Kosi Perry completed eight-of-12 passes for 125 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Travis Homer (88 yards on 14 rush attempts) and DeeJay Dallas (114 yards on 11 carries, one TD) handled the running game as Darrell Langham (three receptions, 33 yards, one TD) and Mike Harley (two catches, 70 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.
Florida State has run the ball on 49.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (FL) has an overall rush percentage of 61.4 percent. The Seminoles have produced 97 rush yards per game (including 77 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have four scores on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are averaging 213 rush yards per game and have 14 total rushing TDs.
The Noles offense has averaged 275 yards in the air overall (235 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Hurricanes have produced 217 pass yards per contest and have 12 total pass TDs.
Florida State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101 yards and pass for 284 yards per game. The Miami (FL) D has given up 138.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.0 yards per game on the ground. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.80 to opposing QBs, while the Seminoles have allowed a 5.65 ANY/A.
Offensively, Francois has put up 1,025 passing yards this year, and has completed 60 percent of his 144 attempts with seven passing scores and four interceptions. He has a 5.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 11.73 over the past two games.
In the other locker room, N’Kosi Perry has completed 17-of-26 passes for 218 yards, four TDs and two INTs. Perry’s ANY/A sits at 6.69 for the year and 7.71 over his last two outings.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Florida State Seminoles at Miami (FL) Hurricanes
SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Seminoles offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have put up five such plays.
The Florida State defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Miami (FL) has given up two such plays.
The Florida State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami (FL) has created eight such runs.
The Seminoles defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have given up seven such runs.
Each team defense has produced 14 sacks this season.
Florida State has rushed for 2.33333333333333 yards per attempt across its past three contests and 2.2 over its last two.
Miami (FL) has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its last two.
In its last three games, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Florida State was the underdog by 5 points in its previous game and the Over/Under going into it was 47.5. The over cashed and Florida State covered in the 28-24 win over Louisville.
Over its last three matchups, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Miami (FL) was favored by 18 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 55.5. The over cashed and Miami (FL) covered in the 47-10 win over North Carolina.
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