The Liberty Flames (-4) are set to take on their conference rival New Mexico State Aggies at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
New Mexico State is the underdog in this IndFBS game and is currently receiving 4 points. The Flames are also receiving -185 moneyline odds while the Aggies are +165. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 62.5 points. There will probably be some good live betting possibilities in this game.
The sharp action has been siding with both the Flames and the over. The opening line was originally set at 3 and the total was initially 61.5.
The Flames are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 2-2. The Aggies have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.
The Flames have gone 2-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against IndFBS opponents. The Aggies are 1-4 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Flames enter after a 52-43 win over New Mexico last week. the Flames completed 27-of-47 passes for 472 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Stephen Calvert went 24-for-41 for 417 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Mason Cunningham completed two-of-five for 16 yards. Frankie Hickson (only 65 rushing yards on 27 attempts, but two TDs) and Peytton Pickett (39 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the ground attack in the win while Antonio Gandy-Golden (11 receptions, 245 yards, one TD) and B.J. Farrow (seven catches, 122 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
New Mexico State just picked up a 27-20 win over UTEP a couple of weeks ago. The defense let the Miners rush for 235 yards on 64 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Quardraiz Wadley was a bright spot in the defeat for UTEP, recording 111 rushing yards on 20 attempts. For New Mexico State, Josh Adkins completed nine-of-18 passes for 156 yards and one touchdown. Adkins (16 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Christian Gibson (103 yards on 10 carries) handled the ground game in the win as Johnathan Boone (three receptions, 60 yards) and Royce Caldwell (two catches, 60 yards, one TD) led the New Mexico State pass-catchers.
Liberty has run the ball on 47.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Mexico State has a rush percentage of 44.8 percent. The Flames have rushed for 142 yards/game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Aggies are averaging 82 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.
The Flames offense has tallied an astonishing 339 yards per game through the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Aggies have recorded 191 pass yards per game and have five total pass score.
Liberty has allowed opponents to run for an average of 284 yards and pass for 197 yards per game. The New Mexico State defense has allowed 171.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 260.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.15 to opponents, while the Flames have given up a 6.34 ANY/A.
Offensively, Calvert is up to 1,069 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 68-of-114 attempts with nine scores through the air and only two interceptions. Calvert’s got a 9.71 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.12 over the past two outings.
On the other sideline, Josh Adkins has completed 11-of-21 passes for 166 yards, one TD and zero INTs. Adkins’ ANY/A sits at 7.57 for the year and 5.88 across his last two outings.
These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to play each other a year ago.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Pick: Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies
SU Winner – New Mexico State, ATS Winner – New Mexico State, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
Both teams have lost three fumbles this year.
The New Mexico State defense has tallied 14 sacks on the year while Liberty has just four.
Liberty has rushed for 3.03703703703704 yards per attempt across its past three outings and 2.6 over its last two.
New Mexico State has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.9 over its past two.
*****
