The Bowling Green Falcons (+20) aren’t traveling far to face the Toledo Rockets at Glass Bowl. The opening kickoff for this MAC game is set for 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN+.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets Betting Preview
In this Saturday Mid-American game, Toledo is tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 20 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to wager $1,800 to win $100 back on the Rockets (-1800). The Falcons are getting +900 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) pretty highly at 74 points. If the favorites give up points in the early stages, it will likely result in a solid in-game betting opportunity.
The Falcons are 0-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-1. The Rockets have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-0.
The Falcons are 1-4 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against MAC opponents. The Rockets are 2-2 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play.
When these two schools faced each other last year, Toledo knocked Bowling Green off easily 66-37.
The Falcons hope to bounce back after a 63-17 defeat to Georgia Tech last week. Jarret Doege completed 27-of-44 passes for 305 yards, one score and two interceptions. Bryson Denley (23 yards on 11 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Scott Miller (10 receptions, 117 yards) and Jordan Wayne-Prather (seven catches, 70 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Fresno State knocked off this Toledo crew by a score of 49-27. The Rockets defensive unit let the Bulldogs pass for 368 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 186 yards and two scores. Jordan Mims torched the defense, putting up 59 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts, along with 126 yards on six catches for Fresno State. As a group, the Rockets collectively completed 16-of-31 passes for 238 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Eli Peters went 10-for-21 for 179 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Mitchell Guadagni was six-of-10 for 59 yards and one touchdown. Mitchell Guadagni (55 rushing yards on eight attempts) mounted the running game while Jon’Vea Johnson (six receptions, 112 yards, two TDs) and Diontae Johnson (three catches, 21 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Bowling Green has run the ball on 48.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has an overall rush percentage of 60.1 percent. The Falcons have produced 86 rush yards/game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Rockets are putting up 173 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.
The Falcons offense has logged 257 yards per game through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Rockets have put up 270 pass yards per contest and also have 13 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Bowling Green seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 341 rush yards and 160 pass yards per game. The Toledo D has allowed 266.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 192.3 yards per game on the ground. The Rockets are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.21 to opponents, while the Falcons have allowed an ugly 9.90 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Doege has put up 959 yards on the year, and has connected on 64 percent of his 148 attempts with 10 passing scores and six interceptions. He’s got a 4.94 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.76 over the last two outings.
Mitchell Guadagni has managed to complete 30-of-47 passes for 546 yards, six TDs and one INT for Toledo. His ANY/A stands at 11.38 for the year and 9.24 over his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Tip: Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Bowling Green, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Toledo offense has lost one fumble this season while Bowling Green has lost three.
The Toledo D has recorded six sacks on the year while Bowling Green has five.
Bowling Green has averaged 2.48 yards per carry across its last three games and 2.1 over its last two.
Toledo has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
In its last three matchups, Toledo is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
Bowling Green was favored by 28 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 65. The over cashed and Bowling Green failed to cover in the 63-17 loss to Georgia Tech.
Toledo was favored by 11 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under going into it was 61.5. The over cashed and Toledo did not cover in that 49-27 defeat to Fresno State.
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