The Rebels (-11) are gearing up to welcome their conference rival New Mexico Lobos to Unlv. This vital afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ATSN.
New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
In this Saturday Mountain West game, UNLV has been tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 11 points. The Lobos are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Rebels are -450. It appears that there might be multiple solid live betting possibilities while the showdown is underway, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 67 points.
The O/U hasn’t changed after it was initially posted at 67. Having said that, the opening line was -14 and sharp bettors are siding with the Lobos.
The Lobos are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-0. The Rebels have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.
The Lobos are 2-2 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Rebels are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Lobos came up short to Liberty 52-43 in a contest where their secondary allowed the Flames to air it out for 472 yards and three touchdowns. Antonio Gandy-Golden shredded the defense in that one with 245 yards and a score on 11 catches. On the offense, the Lobos completed 21-of-41 passes for 369 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Sheriron Jones went 15-for-27 for 312 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions while Tevaka Tuioti completed six-of-14 for 57 yards and one interception. Tyrone Owens (93 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack in the loss while Delane Hart-Johnson (five receptions, 83 yards, one TD) and Elijah Lilly (three catches, 57 yards) handled the receiving duties.
UNLV just lost a 27-20 game to Arkansas State. The defense allowed the Red Wolves to run for 197 yards on 36 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Marcel Murray had a solid showing, recording 95 rushing yards and a score on eight attempts for Arkansas State. For UNLV, Armani Rogers completed five-of-21 passes for 23 yards and three interceptions. Rogers (181 rushing yards on 26 attempts, one TD) and Lexington Thomas (82 yards on 18 carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Evan Owens (one receptions, 1 yards) and Brandon Presley (one catch, five yards) led all UNLV pass-catchers.
New Mexico has run the ball on 64.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UNLV has an overall rush percentage of 71.9 percent. The Lobos have rushed for 201 yards/game and have 11 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are averaging 337 rushing yards per game and have 13 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Rebels may hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their running backs has produced 6.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 4.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Lobos have registered 4.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.
The Lobos offense has averaged 248 yards in the air overall and has 11 passing scores so far. The Rebels have produced 92 pass yards per game and have six total pass TDs.
Defensively, New Mexico has let opponents run for an average of 219 yards and pass for 299 yards per game. The UNLV defense has given up 210.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 180.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Lobos have given up an ANY/A of 6.29 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels are yielding an ANY/A of 6.30.
Offensively, Jones has amassed 413 passing yards this year. He’s completed 25-of-46 attempts with six scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 6.31 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.24 over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, Armani Rogers has managed to complete 23-of-61 passes for 239 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Rogers’ ANY/A sits at a minuscule 2.17 for the year and -0.67 over his past two games.
When these two squads faced each other a year ago, UNLV won by a field goal 38-35.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Prediction: New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Rebels
SU Winner – New Mexico, ATS Winner – New Mexico, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Lobos offense has produced eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rebels have put up one such play.
The New Mexico defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while UNLV has given up three such plays.
The New Mexico offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UNLV has created 16 such runs.
The Lobos defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Rebels have given up 11 such runs.
The UNLV D has recorded nine sacks on the year while New Mexico has eight.
As a team, New Mexico has averaged 3.76744186046512 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
UNLV has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its past two.
New Mexico was favored by 7 points in its last game and the O/U was 65. The over cashed and New Mexico failed to cover in the 52-43 defeat to Liberty.
In its last three games, New Mexico is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
UNLV was favored by 8 points in its previous outing and the Over/Under going into it was 66. The under cashed and UNLV failed to cover in that 27-20 loss to Arkansas State.
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