The New Orleans Saints (-7) are gearing up to welcome the Washington Redskins to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. This vital Monday Night showdown kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN will broadcast the action.
Washington Redskins +7 +220 ov 52
New Orleans Saints -7 -260 un 52
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Washington Redskins vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
In this early-week NFC game, New Orleans is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. The Redskins are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Saints are -260. Some good live betting scenarios may exist during this matchup, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 52 points.
The game’s total has shifted up after initially being set at 51. The opening spread (-7) has stayed consistent.
The Redskins are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.1 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-2. The Saints have lost 1.7 units in 2018. The team is 2-2 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Redskins have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Saints are 3-1 SU.
The Redskins are coming off a resounding 31-17 win over Green Bay in Week 3Their defense allowed the Packers to rush for 100 yards on 17 attempts. Geronimo Allison had a productive day for the Packers in that one with 76 yards and a score on two catches. Offensively, Alex Smith completed 12 passes for 220 yards, two scores and one interception. Adrian Peterson (120 yards on 19 rush attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack in the win. Jordan Reed (four receptions, 65 yards) and Jamison Crowder (four catches, 39 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
The New Orleans Saints just picked up a 33-18 win over the Giants in Week 4. The defensive secondary allowed the Giants to air it out for 255 yards. Saquon Barkley was a bright spot in the loss for New York, accounting for 44 rushing yards and a score on 10 attempts, along with 56 yards and a score on six catches. For New Orleans, Drew Brees completed 18-of-32 passes for 217 yards. Alvin Kamara logged an outstanding statline in the win. Along with 134 yards on 19 rush attempts (and three TDs), Kamara also reeled in five catches for 47 yards.
Washington has run the ball on 50.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Orleans has a rush percentage of 36.8 percent. The Redskins have rushed for 138 yards/game and have three scores via handoffs this year. The Saints are averaging 105 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
It appears that the Saints could hold an edge in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has produced 4.4 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.2 YPC to opponents. The Redskins have rushed for 4.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.5 to opponents.
The Redskins offense has tallied 256 yards per contest in the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Saints have produced 326 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Washington appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 91 rush yards and 199 pass yards per game. The New Orleans defense has allowed 323.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 79.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.33 to opponents, while the Saints have given up an ugly 9.92 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Smith has amassed 475 yards this season, and has completed 66 percent of his 50 attempts with four passing scores and one interception. Smith’s got a 9.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.01 over the last two games.
We expect the Redskins to control the pace by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Jordan Reed (113 yards, one TD), Adrian Peterson (216 rush yards, three rush TDs, 70 receiving yards) and Chris Thompson (82 rush yards, 63 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have really been focal points in the Washington offensive scheme.
Drew Brees has connected on 83-of-112 passes for 899 yards, five TDs and zero INTs for New Orleans. His ANY/A stands at 8.15 for the season and 7.95 over his past two games.
The Saints also prefer to keep their backfield involved. In addition to Alvin Kamara (212 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Michael Thomas (zero rush yards, 316 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Benjamin Watson (zero rush yards, 86 receiving yards) have seen a lot of action recently.
These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 34-31 victory for New Orleans.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Washington was getting 2 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 46.5. The over cashed and Washington covered in the 31-17 victory over Green Bay.
As a team, Washington has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its past two games.
New Orleans has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last two.
The New Orleans offense has lost four fumbles this season while Washington has lost two.
In its last three contests, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
New Orleans was the underdog by 3 points in its last match and the Over/Under was set at 51.5. The under cashed and New Orleans covered in the 33-18 triumph over the Giants.
In its last three matchups, New Orleans is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Redskins offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Saints have put up one such play.
The Washington defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while New Orleans has given up six such plays.
Both teams have produced two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Washington offense has recorded 12 running plays of 10+ yards while New Orleans has accounted for 10 such plays.
The Redskins defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Saints have given up two such runs.
The New Orleans defense has sacked opposing QBs nine times this season. Washington has registered seven sacks.
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